Vigilant-Dignity
0x473db4d165557e06fc9074c9d884a44efdabcaab
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$136.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2729 shares @ 55.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$-203.67
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1671 shares @ 59.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.1K
$143.97
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5
532 shares @ 68.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$531.99
$169.32
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1034 shares @ 43.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$460.21
$10.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.50
$87.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2079 shares @ 15.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$379.47
$49.47
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
969 shares @ 7.2¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$238.83
$168.83
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2353 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$212.94
$12.94
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5
152 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$151.70
$51.70
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.78
$2.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$10.20May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5$56.67May 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5$219.31May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5$100.78May 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5$101.02May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$100.72May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$100.84May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$100.84May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$12.79May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$50.78May 18, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$101.11May 17, 23:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$357.70May 13, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.6KMay 11, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $80.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".