Capital-Mezzanine
0x477dc01b18d600c7d4a9fa1b9617582c23cbe691
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-478.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.63
$-5.37
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
14067 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-289.69
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
11000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-255.91
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
6792 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5343 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-699.99
- NO
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
3064 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
2826 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-204.30
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
2435 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?
2132 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-341.18
- NEW ZEALAND
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)
2000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.26May 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$51.23May 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$40.34May 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$10.38May 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$55.55May 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$42.43May 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$45.92May 14, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.66May 14, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$35.42May 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$101.71May 3, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$508.55May 3, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$101.71May 3, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$305.13Apr 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$509.30Apr 28, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$108.38Apr 28, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$947.69Apr 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$20.00Apr 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$20.50Apr 19, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$500.00Apr 19, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$596.74Apr 19, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $183.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.