Yearly-Outback
0x48b0896d66cca828a19bc02796752f720ea02edb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$37.82
Total PnL
$-156.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
28 shares @ 43.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.73
$-0.27
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
11 shares @ 62.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.05
$4.05
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
86 shares @ 11.6¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.52
$-4.48
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 45.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
25 shares @ 48.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.10
$-8.89
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$-8.98
- YES
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
60000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
6593 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.12May 30, 17:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $12.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.