Essential-Interchange
0x497b4c6496845dc10e1fa57aeae2bd0c9980717e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-63.08
Realised
$82.13
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
1379 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$793.10
$-6.90
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
738 shares @ 37.3¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$612.48
$336.89
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
1818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$300.00
$100.00
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
1393 shares @ 32.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.53
$-164.04
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
77 shares @ 52.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.70
$12.70
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
89 shares @ 38.6¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.61
$11.11
- UP
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$34.38
$4.38
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1538 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.23
$-13.07
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
884 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$-16.67
- NO
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-9.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$810.08Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.2KJun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$302.70Jun 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$20.62Jun 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$504.65Jun 8, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$8.63Jun 2, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$2.1KMay 27, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$362.85May 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$760.00May 21, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$207.12May 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$409.28May 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$818.56May 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$206.41May 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$400.00May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$133.15May 7, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$50.00May 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$800.00May 2, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?$0.00Apr 24, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$0.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $411.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.