Warm-Microwave
0x498068a51b49572758f164e4d20094f38745e27a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$74.59
Total PnL
$49.54
Realised
$47.86
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 96.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.03
$-0.47
- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
14 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$0.07
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 69.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$1.82
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.00
$0.60
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.00
$0.14
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.85
$0.19
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$0.07
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$0.30
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 shares @ 52.1¢·now 46.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.35
$-0.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$5.95Jun 13, 18:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$4.46Jun 11, 16:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.93Jun 9, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$9.38Jun 7, 05:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$6.23Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.60Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.