Worthwhile-Hydrocarbon
0x498f28fc2ea3c7ab0f24bed5c3722b01c2d4170f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$377.42
Total PnL
$-74.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$52.78
$2.78
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
60 shares @ 83.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$51.88
$1.88
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.93
$0.93
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.19
$0.19
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.50
$-0.50
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
54 shares @ 91.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.60
$-2.40
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$45.31
$-4.69
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
52 shares @ 95.5¢·now 54.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$28.59
$-21.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$51.04Jun 2, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.38Jun 2, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$50.38Jun 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?$50.32Jun 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?$50.20Jun 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$50.20Jun 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$50.23Jun 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$16.75Jun 2, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $37.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.