0x49dd9f9e2de076fd1bc253a8242735a86972a40b
0x49dd9f9e2de076fd1bc253a8242735a86972a40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$260.89
Total PnL
$-26.99
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
581 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.20
$3.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
436 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 3.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.38
$15.38
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 84.7¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.29
$-0.87
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
92 shares @ 21.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.91
$8.69
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1076 shares @ 5.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.83
$-41.01
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$13.83
$3.87
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
49 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.50
$-0.24
- UNDER
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.85
$2.90
- UNDER
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.47
$1.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$0.00May 15, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$7.32May 15, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)$25.52May 15, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5$28.99May 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$5.99May 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$5.00May 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)$7.87May 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5$37.36May 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5$0.00May 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$0.00May 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5$3.21May 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5$20.08May 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$12.65May 15, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$0.00May 15, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)$5.02May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)$5.02May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$20.08May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5$5.00May 15, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$0.00May 14, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".