Unfortunate-Avalanche
0x4aa08c1e4ba6fdcddb752ca8886cc0834c75bfc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$295.58
Total PnL
$-79.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$64.71
$14.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.94
$-42.06
- YES
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
95 shares @ 52.7¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$55.06
$5.06
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1004 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.74
$-0.26
- YES
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
475 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.99
$-12.01
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$6.07
$-3.93
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
162 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.83
$-6.88
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$51.655h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$50.009h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$52.249h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$105.9917h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?$10.2617h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.7517h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$55.002d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$10.0036d ago
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.0036d ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$12.6236d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$10.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$15.0038d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.0249d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.0049d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$17.9849d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$15.0049d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$116.5849d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$110.0049d ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.0052d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.0052d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
