Cultivated-Papaya
0x4b14a5f3a68d0b85bc44871a2a6a11b1449ad1a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-862.80
Realised
$-28.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
987 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.59
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-14?
668 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
556 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-58.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
335 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
310 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
221 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
172 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.17May 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.19May 16, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.28May 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$18.29May 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$6.09May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.81May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$39.78May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$102.74May 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$8.51Apr 25, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$50.00Apr 25, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Apr 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$20.00Apr 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$10.00Apr 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$20.00Apr 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.00Apr 25, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$20.46Apr 25, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.