0x4b21de87a99e6f28cc899229a31335257c710b0c
0x4b21de87a99e6f28cc899229a31335257c710b0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.98
Total PnL
$-11.98
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?
8 shares @ 10.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.89
$7.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$6.09
$0.67
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21?
8 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
8 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?
8 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?
8 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- BUCKS
Clippers vs. Bucks
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$1.27Apr 28, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$0.05Apr 28, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$1.76Apr 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$2.20Apr 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$1.51Apr 28, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$0.20Apr 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$0.20Apr 28, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.59Apr 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.47Apr 28, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$2.20Apr 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.28Apr 28, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.68Apr 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$5.90Apr 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$5.53Apr 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$1.04Apr 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.96Apr 27, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$5.42Apr 27, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$0.59Apr 27, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$5.27Apr 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$1.10Apr 27, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.