Misguided-Click
0x4b819f6815bc79614c9be389b94955f76ec6f9b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$957.95
Total PnL
$639.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
267 shares @ 3.7¢·now 69.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.86
$175.86
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 44.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.90
$64.90
- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
108 shares @ 7.2¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$55.43
$47.70
- BRAWLSTARS
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$49.00
$48.00
- NO
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
102 shares @ 6.5¢·now 44.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$45.68
$39.09
- NO
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?
60 shares @ 10.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$38.52
$32.47
- NO
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 7.4¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.98
$31.87
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
117 shares @ 6.9¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.84
$18.84
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
107 shares @ 5.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.09
$18.09
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
24 shares @ 1.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.92
$20.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.01Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.19Jun 13, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.80Jun 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.00Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$11.51Jun 12, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Billie Eilish" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.00Jun 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.04Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.02Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.04Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.05Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.