PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 2, 2026

Will Betty Yee finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$21.20

Liquidity

$5.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-37.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 894h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 894.1h

    LOW
  • 17:54Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 894h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).

Show all 6 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -38.5pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 1¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventCalifornia Governor Primary Election: First Place
Category · Politics

Market Description

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (5.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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