Sniveling-Manacle
0x4be5bfbdc705157e075d21ea1926594a03aac1b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$31.8K
Total PnL
$-55.3K
Realised
$-528.28
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 shares @ 70.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.8K
$-1.2K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6107 shares @ 85.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$325.86
- NO
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
1989 shares @ 90.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$139.38
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 64.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$365.00
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$90.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$188.50
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1000 shares @ 70.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$987.50
$282.50
- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$975.49
$-4.50
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$939.00
$29.00
- NO
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.01
$75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?$1.69Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?$18.81Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.5KJun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$102.66Jun 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.4KJun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.00Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$394.77Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$867.63Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$38.67Jun 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.73Jun 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$128.46Jun 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$150.00Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$60.00Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$140.00Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$140.00Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$150.00Jun 13, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$130.00Jun 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$200.00Jun 13, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $278.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.