Vivid-Fingernail
0x4be632454a28edaf043963b4271b26950fb4c63d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$54.09
Total PnL
$-24.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 87.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Solana reach $210 in January?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$6.05
$0.05
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 57.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.20
$4.20
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.90
$-1.10
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$-1.48
- 80K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.50
$1.50
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 15, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMOver $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.04Jan 14, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Heat$2.00Jan 14, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$5.00Jan 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Heat$1.00Jan 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.00Jan 10, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1.00Jan 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.