0x4c3e9ac5f2dbfad6c946f8ef76f205ccfe31205c
0x4c3e9ac5f2dbfad6c946f8ef76f205ccfe31205c
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.86
Total PnL
$-42.50
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 38.8¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- NO
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- JESSICA BOUZAS MANEIRO
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaider
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- PEYTON STEARNS
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- FABIAN MAROZSAN
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- MOEZ ECHARGUI
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.01May 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5$1.03May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.17May 3, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score$1.00Apr 27, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. 76ers$1.55Apr 27, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5$1.00Apr 27, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMOperário Ferroviário EC vs. Fortaleza EC: Both Teams to Score$1.05Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$1.00Apr 26, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOperário Ferroviário EC vs. Fortaleza EC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?$1.48Apr 26, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$0.00Apr 26, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk$1.00Apr 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)$0.00Apr 26, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$2.19Apr 26, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)$2.23Apr 26, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional win on 2026-04-25?$0.00Apr 26, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.