Polite-Present
0x4c3f485bc15a3e84e9be832851449ca1bb07ff4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$-15.82
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2256 shares @ 36.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$936.10
$124.06
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
480 shares @ 27.8¢·now 33.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$158.88
$25.44
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
8400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.40
$21.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
83167 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-313.21
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
29830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-59.66
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
23625 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-345.99
- NO
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
21429 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-538.05
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
20932 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
16500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
10841 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$23.26Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.60Jun 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.16Jun 12, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.12Jun 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.16Jun 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.12Jun 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.10Jun 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.14Jun 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.18Jun 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.15Jun 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.01Jun 12, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.14Jun 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.02Jun 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.27Jun 11, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.03Jun 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.12Jun 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.25Jun 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.15Jun 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.26Jun 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.25Jun 11, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.