Stimulating-Gas
0x4c916aafaefced980d3e59f06d8eeaec40324bbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$72.77
Total PnL
$-76.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?
78 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$24.61
$-0.39
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
89 shares @ 16.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.89
$-2.11
- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- OVER
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$8.94
$-1.06
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$6.74
$-3.01
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.76
$-0.24
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
35000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?
198 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJuventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$10.14May 14, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?$10.21May 14, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 14, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$17.20May 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$15.16May 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?$25.51May 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$31.39May 14, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$71.43May 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?$10.10May 8, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$5.11May 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.30May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Apr 27, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$31.40Apr 26, 11:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.94Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$17.50Apr 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 24, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $14.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".