Impassioned-Chef-Steward
0x4c99cd71c06e2efdd9bb679f3a2a6bdf6bf46efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-342.90
Realised
$23.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
578 shares @ 77.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$485.44
$35.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
439 shares @ 78.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$340.42
$-2.59
- YES
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
1003 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$75.19
$-74.81
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
280 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$68.60
$18.20
- YES
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
120 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2027$21.60
$0.00
- YES
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
185 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.48
$0.50
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
57 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.89
$1.43
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
1184 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.25
$-4.06
- YES
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
413 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.61
$2.48
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
608 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.86
$-145.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$109.31Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$75.00Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson federally charged?$1.99Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?$18.98Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$14.66Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$7.50Jun 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$21.30Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$18.11Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$34.86Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.22Jun 12, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$4.71Jun 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.41Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.36Jun 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$3.60Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.29Jun 12, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$0.26Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.32Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$0.75Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.94Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.