Cuddly-Seizure
0x4cf2bb5b3898467f5002288a956b6f638b90e31c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$174.76
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1429 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.3K
$2.84
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2220 shares @ 67.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-234.53
- NO
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
959 shares @ 58.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$959.04
$400.12
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
1068 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$854.20
$-31.80
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1594 shares @ 28.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$422.39
$-38.21
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
467 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$376.26
$21.03
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1042 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$156.25
$-41.67
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
405 shares @ 26.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.92
$-26.74
- YES
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
813 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.24
$3.73
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
1741 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.68
$-6.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$107.66May 24, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$110.24May 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$42.23May 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?$12.38May 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?$12.98May 7, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$17.71May 6, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$187.94May 6, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$102.07May 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$232.79May 5, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$203.87May 5, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$177.37May 5, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$175.47May 5, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$159.24May 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$36.74May 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$26.41May 3, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$45.90May 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$151.50May 1, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$213.24May 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$107.68May 1, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$200.00May 1, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $191.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.