Melodic-Sweets
0x4d00254244e6726582c0204d26107f1c4f9e8af3
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$282.78
Total PnL
$-241.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
258 shares @ 65.1¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$152.15
$-15.85
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
94 shares @ 31.9¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$42.34
$12.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?
48 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$31.90
$1.90
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?
58 shares @ 34.3¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$19.23
$-0.77
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?
46 shares @ 43.1¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$17.15
$-2.85
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
13100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.51
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
10973 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.91
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?$30.442h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$20.452h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$20.242h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$30.822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?$20.532h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.074h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.074h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$1.074h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$285.627h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$212.557h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.072d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET$2.252d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET$4.992d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$168.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET$2.252d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET$2.252d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.452d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$11.552d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$313.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$100.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $51.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".