Composed-Extent
0x4d057ee18b19b264a891219f6d5c47e8bd84d278
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$317.83
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-5.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
316 shares @ 4.8¢·now 28.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.22
$74.13
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.21
$13.21
- NO
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.37
$12.37
- NO
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.84
$11.84
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
41 shares @ 59.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.15
$10.80
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$0.09
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
20039 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
4401 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-127.98
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?
3218 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$152.00Mar 11, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$5.10Mar 11, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$4.26Mar 11, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$18.46Mar 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$100.00Mar 11, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$100.00Mar 11, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.49Mar 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$5.00Mar 11, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$100.00Mar 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$8.14Mar 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.00Mar 3, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.00Mar 2, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)$0.00Mar 2, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)$0.00Mar 2, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$6.60Mar 2, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.21Mar 2, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)$0.37Mar 2, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)$31.26Mar 2, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kevin Hassett in February 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $47.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".