Attractive-Manservant
0x4d0a7253794c788695b9d2805bf285dc49d6c96f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$56.84
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-257.49
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.50
$13.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
141 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$-2.05
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
973 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
805 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-163.45
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
800 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-109.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
455 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$16.01Jun 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$8.40May 30, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.60May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$5.01May 29, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$0.96May 29, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$28.95May 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$2.10May 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$32.90May 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$26.28May 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$11.72May 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$17.00May 28, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$27.00May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$37.00May 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$64.67May 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$35.00May 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$51.00May 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$5.25May 28, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$10.75May 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$6.26May 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$43.00May 28, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.