0x4d0bed9bb2fae6a41dfc967de987f45a406bb099
0x4d0bed9bb2fae6a41dfc967de987f45a406bb099
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$33.51
Total PnL
$-32.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.21
$-0.03
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.11
$-0.13
- NO
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.13
$-0.01
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.10
$-0.04
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.90
$-0.22
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 36.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.98
$-5.26
- EVEN
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.08
$-2.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.67
- NO
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.15May 22, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.15May 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$4.15May 22, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.0B?$0.00May 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.0B?$4.15May 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.0B?$4.15May 21, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$4.19May 21, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$0.00May 20, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$3.80May 20, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.14May 20, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?$4.15May 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$3.80May 19, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$4.15May 19, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".