Elastic-Timeout-Piglet
0x4d33d4ebd156a3ecdaf5dd9254f481a990e8aa06
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
129500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-404.95
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
110376 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-269.76
- G2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
1419 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-440.00
- RAPTORS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
305 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-43.84
- NAKATANI
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani
260 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?
198 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 major space weather event this week?
75 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-24.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$4.01May 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner$449.11May 1, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$28.96May 1, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$53.25May 1, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$531.83May 1, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$226.00Apr 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$113.00Apr 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$66.00Apr 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $65.97Apr 29, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$31.00Apr 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$31.69Apr 29, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$100.90Apr 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$99.00Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$49.25Apr 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$25.00Apr 27, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 major space weather event this week?$25.00Apr 27, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$188.00Apr 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder $6.81Apr 26, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?$381.45Apr 26, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $68.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.