Clever-Deformation
0x4d9370fd3a26c80f867d1fa2b3fc84ed66d6c671
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$-82.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
650 shares @ 83.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$594.76
$53.33
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$325.96
$13.96
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
400 shares @ 71.8¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$284.00
$-3.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 79.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$262.50
$23.40
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
398 shares @ 63.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$240.63
$-11.92
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
270 shares @ 65.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.85
$26.85
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
236 shares @ 63.8¢·now 73.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$174.03
$23.72
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 84.5¢·now 87.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.17
$3.31
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
40 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$26.60
$-0.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.70
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$109.85May 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$71.00May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5$27.07May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$216.00May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$420.39May 18, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$35.20May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$126.55May 17, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$83.40May 17, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$38.40May 17, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$207.46May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$104.54May 16, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$84.60May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$262.03May 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$3.60May 16, 07:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$184.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$70.32May 14, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $110.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".