Exalted-Wave
0x4daf9a2660b344bd1ff2cace168f7bb47ee0cb53
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$33.80
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
12 shares @ 59.5¢·now 52.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.11
$-0.77
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1096 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-387.73
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
708 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-249.95
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
281 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
256 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
223 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.21
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
223 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$11.76Apr 29, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.60Apr 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.76Apr 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$10.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00Apr 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$17.00Apr 7, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$42.97Apr 7, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$40.00Apr 7, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$20.61Apr 7, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$20.40Apr 7, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$10.00Apr 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$20.00Apr 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$27.36Apr 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$20.86Apr 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$38.38Apr 5, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$50.00Apr 5, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$14.95Apr 4, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$34.55Apr 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.37Apr 4, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.20Apr 4, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $19.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".