Pastel-Retrospect
0x4ddd98305a766b4b7bd02dba041aa6ed56a2258a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$13.79
Total PnL
$-236.49
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.27
$0.27
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 84.2¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 64.5¢·now 46.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$1.00Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.30Jun 2, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.32Jun 2, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01May 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.02May 18, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry$1.15May 18, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.01May 4, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$1.00May 4, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry$1.00May 4, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of April 20 2026?$1.04May 4, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.82May 4, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of April 20 2026?$5.02May 4, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".