Arid-Strait
0x4e71fba903c40debc2b942d84b5b6678ca00637d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.02
Total PnL
$-0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
2 shares @ 45.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$2.18
$1.18
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?
2 shares @ 55.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.80
$0.80
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.00Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?$1.00Dec 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?$1.00Dec 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$1.00Dec 16, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.72Dec 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Dec 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 4, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia win Intervision 2025?$1.00Aug 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Aug 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?$1.00Aug 1, 06:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".