These-Ballot
0x4e9684406e387f17b920c199dddd3825629b914b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$158.60
Total PnL
$-41.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$58.13May 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$47.56May 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$23.98May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.00May 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$132.80May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$240.65May 17, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$240.78May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$67.05May 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$71.29May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$71.29May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.00May 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$21.09May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$240.78May 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$52.82May 17, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$52.86May 17, 02:39 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.85May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$5.27May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$200.22May 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.14May 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.96May 16, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $84.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".