Defiant-Centimeter
0x4ee2e311580827e33e682cad24f80c1fad885709
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$10.40
Total PnL
$-23.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.39
$1.39
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.74
$1.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$-0.89
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
44 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$15.15May 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.05May 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$1.02May 8, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$2.03May 8, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 8, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.02May 4, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3.66May 4, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$4.92May 4, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$1.50Apr 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?$1.15Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "The President" during his speech on April 9?$1.23Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?$1.00Apr 9, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.85Apr 9, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "The President" during his speech on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "Conflict" during his speech on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$3.00Apr 9, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.