Snoopy-Platelet
0x4f685740c0ce74309c220dac7eeb01b7dd0f39a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$6.10
Total PnL
$-81.93
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- NO
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.36
$2.53
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 48.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.57
$0.02
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
11 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.10
$-0.82
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
4 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.02
$-0.18
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
3 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.02
$-0.68
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
4 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.02
$-0.26
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
3 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will Steve Botsford Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
1695 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will Jonathan Dean be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
1610 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will McLaren double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?
1546 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$1.32Jun 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.54Jun 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.54Jun 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.66Jun 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$1.87Jun 10, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?$2.90Jun 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.34Jun 10, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?$0.03Apr 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.30Apr 5, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.53Apr 4, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.54Apr 4, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.20Apr 4, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.53Apr 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlimpia Milano vs. Dinamo Sassari$0.01Mar 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$0.01Mar 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A$0.01Mar 22, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?$0.01Mar 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner$0.01Mar 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.01Mar 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMedvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5$0.01Mar 15, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.