Kind-Corruption
0x4f6c8029f11ac8c66115d09340a4b51963032ce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-239.89
Realised
$58.39
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
2376 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
713 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.27
- YES
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
589 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
492 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
456 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
287 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
228 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
218 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$1.03Jun 24, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?$2.05Jun 24, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$2.05Jun 24, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$1.03Jun 24, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.09Jun 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$2.12Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$0.00Jun 18, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$0.00Jun 17, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$0.00Jun 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$4.87Jun 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$4.80Jun 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$10.24Jun 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$4.63Jun 16, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00May 11, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$8.13May 10, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$3.12May 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings$1.79May 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.78May 5, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.