Raw-Expectation
0x4f7cc59d9719663332a13853dad90134a65745ec
active
Quality score
61/100
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.04
Total PnL
$-10.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?
5 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$5.00
$0.66
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.00
- NO
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.15
$-0.45
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?$4.896d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?$4.3434d ago
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.6057d ago
- REWARD$1.1560d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?$2.2060d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$13.8060d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.6060d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?$2.6060d ago
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?$2.0160d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?$10.3378d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?$14.3378d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?$8.7495d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5.7595d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?$2.01136d ago
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00136d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00147d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00147d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?$10.74167d ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 7PM ET$0.24172d ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 7PM ET$1.0K173d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $39.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 279d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.