Trustworthy-Wriggler
0x4f807a174c9ea1f8b6deae0196195630f78abe79
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$281.77
Total PnL
$-389.26
Realised
$31.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2351 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$96.38
$-3.62
- YES
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
506 shares @ 20.3¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.05
$-19.79
- YES
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
742 shares @ 13.5¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.61
$-41.39
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
795 shares @ 9.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.73
$-31.27
- YES
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
1566 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
629 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
349 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$229.83Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$576.38Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$462.00Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$139.57Jun 11, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$29.63Jun 11, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$90.87Jun 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$212.50Jun 10, 16:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$78.96Jun 9, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$352.97Jun 9, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$455.02Jun 9, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$150.00Jun 9, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$48.04Jun 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$53.40Jun 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$25.20Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$114.84Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$103.51Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$62.77Jun 9, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $164.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.