Inferior-Cast
0x4fc6b0639a5f35a5e978d8069687a1a1de4881aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
869 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
856 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-62.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
532 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
477 shares @ 75.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-360.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
458 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
454 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
414 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
403 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
347 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
321 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00May 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$687.81May 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$856.60May 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.0KMay 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$65.88May 23, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$595.24May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$502.40May 21, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.1KMay 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$352.11May 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$11.92May 7, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.00May 7, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$11.23May 7, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$17.57May 7, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$102.19May 7, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$102.42May 7, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$74.25May 7, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$104.59May 7, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$101.91May 7, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$102.41May 7, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$104.20May 7, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $209.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.