Responsible-Checkbook
0x502bc12ea1fa0db90bde0c36518d432eae92a7a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$198.13
Total PnL
$-298.50
Realised
$-9.49
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
185 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$183.98
$43.38
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 14.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.21
$6.35
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$0.10
- YES
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
2 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.33
- YES
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
543 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-59.73
- YES
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
301 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-105.35
- NO
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
241 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-33.46
- YES
Will Cenk Uygur be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
138 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
94 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-39.48
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
89 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$2.22May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$3.86May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$7.00May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$27.14May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$45.60May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$57.00May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$116.82May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$201.00May 21, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$371.00May 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?$2.34Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$9.49Feb 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$174.87Jan 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$39.48Jan 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$20.70Jan 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$48.76Jan 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$30.24Jan 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$45.03Jan 10, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$139.50Jan 10, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$289.75Jan 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$96.22Jan 10, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $83.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.