PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$17.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5982.3h

    LOW
  • 17:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will Trump pardon before 2027?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
US governmentOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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