Hard-Wing
0x508d67c5f7a6785792dd4cfd573f1e581b1cb1f3
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.95
Total PnL
$-4.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$1.0416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$1.0416h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$1.231d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$1.232d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$0.562d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$1.232d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$1.234d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$1.016d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$1.186d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$1.187d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.188d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$1.189d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$1.1110d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.2111d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".