Repentant-Achievement-Cleat
0x50cf74836489336beb80b30a03c5c6dd57cc9330
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Megaquake by June 30?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.03Jun 30, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$1.02Jun 30, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$2.04Jun 29, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$4.29Jun 29, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$2.05Jun 29, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$27.27Jun 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$6.14Jun 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$0.98Jun 9, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.20Jun 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$1.00Jun 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.02Jun 8, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?$1.37May 22, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 20, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.04May 20, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Pyramid" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$0.00May 20, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$1.61May 20, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 20, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.03May 18, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.