Ornery-Hello
0x5136541bced26e7c2bc20550cc26345f7d4a0e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$4.6K
Realised
$9.6K
Win rate
93%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
934 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$843.22
$21.20
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
962 shares @ 29.8¢·now 60.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$580.06
$293.10
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
907 shares @ 81.4¢·now 51.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$471.20
$-267.18
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
370 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$358.73
$9.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
290 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$287.69
$2.03
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
290 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$282.03
$-1.69
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
612 shares @ 1.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$50.45
$39.13
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
314 shares @ 14.3¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.10
$-7.82
- YES
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
612 shares @ 1.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$33.63
$22.31
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
314 shares @ 14.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.01
$-11.90
Recent activity
- MERGEWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$25.00Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$32.59Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$32.59Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$25.00Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$25.00Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$32.59Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- CONVERSIONBritish Grand Prix: Driver Winner$32.59Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$23.54Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$18.64Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$17.00Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$8.44Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$12.51Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$23.54Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$22.08Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$23.54Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$235.20Jun 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$712.80Jun 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$640.00Jun 15, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$20.00Jun 15, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Hall win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$20.00Jun 15, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $57.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.