Calm-Pinecone
0x5172b0275190d8d3f86edfb2a4f79d3158b4380c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Pusey win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?$0.97Jun 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?$1.01Jun 5, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$9.35May 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.04May 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.04May 22, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.04May 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$7.55May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$7.60May 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran legalize gay marriage?$6.98May 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran legalize gay marriage?$7.01May 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.99May 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$9.97May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$10.00May 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$9.99May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$9.99May 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$10.00May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$9.99May 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 17, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.