Raw-Inconvenience
0x51b22d97f7eab0cfe79f257ea615a3f4b3a00d09
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-133.43
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1923 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$990.38
$-9.61
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
200 shares @ 93.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$141.00
$-46.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
108 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
101 shares @ 90.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.64
$8.41
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$95.80
$2.80
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.00
$-79.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$93.33May 14, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.00May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$92.37May 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$400.00May 13, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$156.98May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$77.64May 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$380.95May 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$17.76May 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$14.01May 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.29May 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.14May 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.00May 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$52.00May 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.20May 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.20May 12, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.20May 12, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$22.33May 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$51.73May 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$65.15May 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$88.53May 12, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $62.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".