Oval-Initial
0x51ce46e4c309c0b24014e0098c0febbaf1b52fa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$65.02
Total PnL
$-94.80
Realised
$-2.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
28 shares @ 48.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$28.08
$14.37
- YES
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
10 shares @ 49.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.02
$5.02
- YES
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
95 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$-1.95
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.90
$0.90
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-4.65
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
154 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.42
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
58 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$5.10Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$5.23Apr 29, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?$0.14Apr 29, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$1.86Apr 29, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$0.12Apr 29, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.02Apr 29, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$48.90Apr 29, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?$1.00Apr 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$2.00Apr 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?$1.00Apr 21, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$1.00Apr 21, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$3.00Apr 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?$5.00Apr 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$10.00Apr 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?$5.00Apr 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$5.00Apr 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$6.57Apr 21, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$5.00Apr 21, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$10.00Apr 21, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.