Cavernous-Heroine
0x51df72f71872a16a9b026693c90a6bab1e970fca
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$481.96
Total PnL
$-82.35
Realised
$23.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
106 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.44
$3.44
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$101.19
$1.19
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.99
$1.99
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
51 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
232 shares @ 64.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$38.34
$-111.66
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.18
$2.18
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$19.56
$-0.44
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 80.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.93
$2.09
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$50.27Jul 27, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? $50.03Jul 27, 13:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $34.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.