Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$2.10
Liquidity
$23.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $23.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5985.5h
- 14:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 55¢-5.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 56¢-2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 55¢-11.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).