Benedict Wong as Wong?
Probability
71¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5676.7h
- 11:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5677h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 71¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 87¢0.0pp
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 46¢-5.5pp
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 59¢0.0pp
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 47¢0.0pp
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢0.0pp
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 83¢0.0pp
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
Other · Vol $1.42
- 78¢+3.5pp
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
Other · Vol $120.00
- 68¢0.0pp
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $729.7K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $704.2K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $539.7K
- 88¢+2.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $519.4K
- 100¢+32.5pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $439.4K
Market Description
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).