Each-Timeline
0x5231bce44b83d75d238468c0284eb3b06d40ca59
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$170.87
Total PnL
$5.53
Realised
$-1.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$62.28Aug 1, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$53.19Jul 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$38.74Jul 27, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$3.35Jul 25, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$3.00Jul 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$59.32Jul 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$55.86Jul 25, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$40.50Jul 25, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$49.25Jul 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$49.43Jul 25, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$56.78Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$2.24Jul 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$85.38Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$6.61Jul 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$39.94Jul 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$59.13Jul 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$35.85Jul 15, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$11.51Jul 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$1.89Jul 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$35.01Jul 15, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $51.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.