Basic-Stitcher
0x52fd37f20455044ce1570d316b16deaf50882ab7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-286.84
Realised
$44.25
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
1883 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?
569 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
XMAQUINA FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$0.20Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.55Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?$0.12Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.80Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$1.56Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.53Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$0.69Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$1.68Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?$2.06Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 10 countries in 2026?$2.73Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$2.27Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$2.87Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHuddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?$2.93Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$4.04Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?$3.29Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$1.16Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.42Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.53Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?$2.27Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?$5.29Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.