Strong-Parser
0x5351c99a047e396a1a9bb99a8be7ebd819ccd718
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$52.84
Total PnL
$-7.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$0.29
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
5 shares @ 80.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 shares @ 84.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.48
$0.48
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.47
$0.47
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
3 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-0.27
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
4 shares @ 56.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.53
$0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.41Jul 22, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.02Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.19Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.01Jul 22, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1.05Jul 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$4.00Jul 22, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$3.54Jul 20, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$4.76Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3.00Jul 20, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.08Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$2.15Jul 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$3.00Jul 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$2.00Jul 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$4.00Jul 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$4.03Jul 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.00Jul 17, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?$0.00Jul 17, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 17?$0.00Jul 17, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$0.00Jul 17, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.