Closed-Density
0x53faebeefb9e3fe3398cd0debbcdef5441914459
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$219.49
Total PnL
$9.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?
106 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.67
$3.67
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.59
$1.59
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.22
$4.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$14.93May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$100.00May 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$100.00May 1, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$0.00Apr 10, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$21.33Apr 10, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?$181.88Apr 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?$167.24Apr 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$11.84Apr 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$17.69Apr 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$0.00Apr 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$17.07Apr 6, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$26.32Apr 6, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$114.94Apr 6, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.00Mar 23, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$0.00Mar 23, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $26.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".